← home

Knifecatcher

Board steps in with €50k+ after the stock dropped 5–25%.

Mean return @ 30d
+3.2%
Hit rate
53%
Trades scored
129
Unique tickers
61
Worst single loss
-16%
Signals / month
9.4

The most aggressive screen in the lineup. When a director buys into a real pullback — not a wobble, not a crash — they're explicitly disagreeing with the market. Hit rate is lower (54%) but the right tail is enormous when it works.

How the rule fires

Insider role = Board · transaction is a buy · value ≥ €50,000 · trailing-month return between −25% and −5%.
What €1,000 per signal would have done
Cumulative P&L
+4,178
+3.2% mean per signal · 129 trades
-1,2781871,6523,1174,5822025-05-272025-12-102026-04-17

Hypothetical, frictionless. €1,000staked the moment each signal fired, closed at the screen's default horizon. No trading costs, no slippage, no taxes. Backtest window 2025-05-192026-04-19.

Every backtest trade

129 signals · 30-day horizon · €1,000 notional per trade
Filing dateCompanyInsiderValueHorizonRaw return€ P&L
2026-04-17🇨🇭
Barry Callebaut AG
$BARN
Board Member (Barry Callebaut AG)
Board Member
€139k30d+11.2%+112
2026-04-10🇩🇪
MOLOGEN Lifescience AG
Bäumler, Matthias
Aufsichtsrat
€150k30d+0.0%+0
2026-04-08🇩🇪
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA
$EVD
Baur, Dr. Cornelius
Aufsichtsrat
€231k30d+5.2%+52
2026-04-08🇩🇪
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA
$EVD
Baur, Dr. Cornelius
Aufsichtsrat
€256k30d+5.2%+52
2026-03-31🇩🇪
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA
$EVD
Baur, Dr. Cornelius
Aufsichtsrat
€249k30d+13.1%+131
2026-03-31🇩🇪
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA
$EVD
Kundrun, Dr. Bernd
Aufsichtsrat
€251k30d+13.1%+131
2026-03-31🇸🇪
Fasadgruppen Group AB (publ)
$FG
KFAB Förvaltning AB
Member of the Board of Directors
€87k30d+3.9%+39
2026-03-30🇩🇪
Siemens Aktiengesellschaft
$SIE
Snabe, Jim Hagemann
Aufsichtsrat
€409k30d+20.1%+201
2026-03-30🇩🇪
Siemens Aktiengesellschaft
$SIE
Snabe, Jim Hagemann
Aufsichtsrat
€205k30d+20.1%+201
2026-03-27🇸🇪
Terranor Group AB (publ)
Anders Gustafsson
Chairman of the Board of Directors
€87k30d+5.7%+57

+ 119 more historical trades — sign up to see

Full ledger, CSV download, and live alerts for the knifecatcher screen.

Sign up — free

⚠️ Risks

Contrarian momentum bet — when the dip was overdone you win, when it wasn't you compound the loss. Hit rate of 54% is barely above a coin flip; the edge lives in the magnitude of winners (up to +35%) vs losers (capped near −16% in backtest). Don't average down on losing alerts from this screen.

Get an email when this screen fires

Free. Each alert names the company, insider, role, and value, with a link to the source filing. We add the safety filters we have (earnings-window suppression where data exists); we never wrap any screen as a recommendation.